Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Europa League team. Leverkusen have the best underlying numbers. Lyon are overperforming most (6 points vs 2.65 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leverkusen | 2 | 7.56 | 1.38 | 6.18 | 5.43 | 6 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 2 | 4.75 | 1.36 | 3.39 | 5.18 | 6 |
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 6.26 | 2.41 | 3.85 | 5.14 | 6 |
| 4 | Juventus | 2 | 6.1 | 1.82 | 4.28 | 4.99 | 6 |
| 5 | Union St.Gilloise | 2 | 5.14 | 1.76 | 3.38 | 4.95 | 4 |
| 6 | Rennes | 2 | 3.21 | 0.79 | 2.42 | 4.74 | 4 |
| 7 | Milan | 2 | 4.41 | 1.44 | 2.98 | 4.51 | 3 |
| 8 | Olympiacos | 2 | 3.44 | 1.37 | 2.07 | 3.81 | 6 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 2 | 3.58 | 1.73 | 1.85 | 3.68 | 6 |
| 10 | Benfica | 2 | 3.8 | 2.39 | 1.42 | 3.49 | 6 |
| 11 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 3.66 | 2.69 | 0.97 | 3.44 | 4 |
| 12 | Lillestrøm | 2 | 3.36 | 2.56 | 0.8 | 3.22 | 1 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 2.46 | 2.19 | 0.27 | 3.07 | 0 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 3.78 | 3.59 | 0.19 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 15 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 4.03 | 4.02 | 0 | 2.88 | 3 |
| 16 | Ferencváros | 2 | 3.45 | 3.24 | 0.22 | 2.88 | 6 |
| 17 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 2.37 | 2.04 | 0.33 | 2.78 | 4 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 2.36 | 2.35 | 0.02 | 2.66 | 6 |
| 19 | Lyon | 2 | 3.25 | 3.37 | -0.12 | 2.65 | 6 |
| 20 | Anderlecht | 2 | 2.9 | 3.27 | -0.37 | 2.53 | 0 |
| 21 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 2.09 | 2.58 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 1 |
| 22 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 2.02 | 3.01 | -0.98 | 2.35 | 1 |
| 23 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 2 | 2.5 | 3.85 | -1.35 | 2.28 | 3 |
| 24 | Marseille | 2 | 2.14 | 3.48 | -1.34 | 2.03 | 0 |
| 25 | Salzburg | 2 | 2.4 | 4.31 | -1.92 | 2.02 | 3 |
| 26 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 2.79 | 5.54 | -2.75 | 1.88 | 1 |
| 27 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 2.89 | 4.75 | -1.86 | 1.85 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 2 | 2.66 | 4.33 | -1.66 | 1.83 | 0 |
| 29 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 2.27 | 3.56 | -1.3 | 1.77 | 1 |
| 30 | Ararat Armenia | 2 | 2.88 | 4.64 | -1.76 | 1.54 | 0 |
| 31 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1.48 | 3.19 | -1.72 | 1.36 | 3 |
| 32 | Viktoria Plzeň | 2 | 2.99 | 5.6 | -2.62 | 1.33 | 0 |
| 33 | NK Celje | 2 | 1.77 | 4.47 | -2.69 | 0.97 | 0 |
| 34 | Lech Poznań | 2 | 2.04 | 7.39 | -5.34 | 0.91 | 0 |
| 35 | Torreense | 2 | 1.56 | 4.38 | -2.82 | 0.83 | 3 |
| 36 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1.08 | 4.6 | -3.52 | 0.7 | 1 |
Leverkusen: 7.56 xG for and 1.38 against (xG difference 6.18).