Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every World Cup Qualifying · UEFA team. Germany have the best underlying numbers. Slovakia are overperforming most (12 points vs 7.18 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 14.98 | 3.35 | 11.64 | 14.38 | 15 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 5.59 | 8.8 | -3.21 | 7.18 | 12 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 4.59 | 6.86 | -2.27 | 6.8 | 9 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 4.07 | 10.23 | -6.16 | 4.86 | 0 |
Germany: 14.98 xG for and 3.35 against (xG difference 11.64).