Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every World Cup Qualifying · Concacaf team. Guatemala have the best underlying numbers. Suriname are overperforming most (9 points vs 6.94 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guatemala | 6 | 8.31 | 3.73 | 4.59 | 10.42 | 8 |
| 2 | Panama | 6 | 10.63 | 7.86 | 2.77 | 10.12 | 12 |
| 3 | Suriname | 6 | 6.87 | 8.92 | -2.05 | 6.94 | 9 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 6 | 4.17 | 9.47 | -5.31 | 5.41 | 3 |
Guatemala: 8.31 xG for and 3.73 against (xG difference 4.59).