Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every MLS team. Philadelphia have the best underlying numbers. Nashville SC are overperforming most (67 points vs 47.52 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Philadelphia | 30 | 59.17 | 42.36 | 16.8 | 51.57 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami CF | 30 | 61.5 | 51.36 | 10.14 | 48.56 | 55 |
| 5 | Chicago | 30 | 51.44 | 40.47 | 10.96 | 47.68 | 48 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.98 | 37.02 | 12.97 | 47.52 | 67 |
| 11 | Cincinnati | 29 | 56.02 | 51.96 | 4.06 | 43.83 | 36 |
| 12 | Columbus | 30 | 43.14 | 37.9 | 5.24 | 43.81 | 35 |
| 14 | New England | 30 | 46.45 | 42.79 | 3.66 | 42.61 | 52 |
| 18 | Charlotte FC | 30 | 46.81 | 49.88 | -3.07 | 40.16 | 47 |
| 19 | NYCFC | 30 | 41.84 | 44.88 | -3.04 | 39.92 | 34 |
| 21 | NY Red Bulls | 30 | 53.54 | 59.75 | -6.21 | 37.75 | 36 |
| 23 | Montreal | 30 | 41.08 | 50.13 | -9.05 | 37.12 | 25 |
| 25 | DC United | 29 | 42.71 | 46.27 | -3.56 | 36.76 | 33 |
| 26 | Atlanta United | 30 | 41.34 | 50.26 | -8.91 | 36.46 | 30 |
| 27 | Toronto | 30 | 36.54 | 45.73 | -9.19 | 35.22 | 36 |
| 28 | Orlando | 30 | 50.48 | 65.95 | -15.47 | 33.14 | 41 |
Philadelphia: 59.17 xG for and 42.36 against (xG difference 16.8).