Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Conference League team. Brighton have the best underlying numbers. Monaco are overperforming most (3 points vs 1.37 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 4.15 | 0.05 | 4.09 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 4.25 | 0.24 | 4.01 | 2.99 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 1 | 2.44 | 0.19 | 2.25 | 2.83 | 3 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 2.24 | 0.23 | 2.01 | 2.76 | 3 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 1 | 3.02 | 0.94 | 2.08 | 2.66 | 3 |
| 6 | St.Truiden | 1 | 1.73 | 0.15 | 1.58 | 2.63 | 3 |
| 7 | Brann | 1 | 2.38 | 0.84 | 1.54 | 2.45 | 3 |
| 8 | FC København | 1 | 1.6 | 0.46 | 1.14 | 2.3 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Midtjylland | 1 | 1.87 | 0.74 | 1.12 | 2.23 | 1 |
| 10 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 3.68 | 2.4 | 1.28 | 2.22 | 3 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 1 | 1.42 | 0.48 | 0.94 | 2.16 | 3 |
| 12 | Riga FC | 1 | 2.19 | 1.15 | 1.03 | 2.13 | 1 |
| 13 | Lugano | 1 | 2.17 | 1.23 | 0.95 | 2.06 | 3 |
| 14 | Hearts | 1 | 1.89 | 1 | 0.89 | 2.05 | 1 |
| 15 | Getafe | 1 | 1.5 | 0.85 | 0.66 | 1.9 | 1 |
| 16 | Freiburg | 1 | 1.78 | 1.27 | 0.51 | 1.76 | 3 |
| 17 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 1.8 | 1.35 | 0.45 | 1.71 | 3 |
| 18 | Monaco | 1 | 1.2 | 1.18 | 0.02 | 1.37 | 3 |
| 19 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 | -0.02 | 1.34 | 0 |
| 20 | Ajax | 1 | 1.35 | 1.8 | -0.45 | 1.04 | 0 |
| 21 | Jablonec | 1 | 1.27 | 1.78 | -0.51 | 0.99 | 0 |
| 22 | Universitatea Craiova | 1 | 0.85 | 1.5 | -0.66 | 0.84 | 1 |
| 23 | Nordsjælland | 1 | 1 | 1.89 | -0.89 | 0.73 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 1.23 | 2.17 | -0.95 | 0.72 | 0 |
| 25 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 1.15 | 2.19 | -1.03 | 0.67 | 1 |
| 26 | KuPS | 1 | 2.4 | 3.68 | -1.28 | 0.61 | 0 |
| 27 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 0.48 | 1.42 | -0.94 | 0.58 | 0 |
| 28 | Egnatia | 1 | 0.74 | 1.87 | -1.12 | 0.56 | 1 |
| 29 | Braga | 1 | 0.46 | 1.6 | -1.14 | 0.48 | 0 |
| 30 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1 | 0.84 | 2.38 | -1.54 | 0.4 | 0 |
| 31 | Pafos FC | 1 | 0.94 | 3.02 | -2.08 | 0.24 | 0 |
| 32 | Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0.15 | 1.73 | -1.58 | 0.22 | 0 |
| 33 | AGF | 1 | 0.23 | 2.24 | -2.01 | 0.15 | 0 |
| 34 | Thun | 1 | 0.19 | 2.44 | -2.25 | 0.1 | 0 |
| 35 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0.24 | 4.25 | -4.01 | 0 | 0 |
| 36 | FK Kauno Žalgiris | 1 | 0.05 | 4.15 | -4.09 | 0 | 0 |
Brighton: 4.15 xG for and 0.05 against (xG difference 4.09).