Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Champions League team. Man City have the best underlying numbers. Liverpool are overperforming most (9 points vs 6.03 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 3 | 7.69 | 3.27 | 4.42 | 7.12 | 6 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 5.96 | 2.3 | 3.66 | 6.8 | 7 |
| 3 | PSG | 3 | 10.1 | 5.62 | 4.48 | 6.15 | 9 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 3 | 7.35 | 4.06 | 3.29 | 6.04 | 6 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 3 | 7.23 | 4.56 | 2.67 | 6.03 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona | 3 | 7.06 | 4.65 | 2.41 | 5.84 | 6 |
| 7 | Bayern München | 2 | 5.91 | 1.03 | 4.88 | 5.64 | 4 |
| 8 | Arsenal | 2 | 5.75 | 0.52 | 5.23 | 5.48 | 6 |
| 9 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 5.21 | 4.19 | 1.01 | 4.88 | 1 |
| 10 | Roma | 3 | 5.03 | 3.02 | 2.01 | 4.83 | 4 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 2 | 6.33 | 3.26 | 3.07 | 4.74 | 6 |
| 12 | Como | 2 | 4.26 | 1.96 | 2.31 | 4.38 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Betis | 2 | 3.49 | 1.8 | 1.69 | 4.06 | 6 |
| 14 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0.01 | 3.97 | 4 |
| 15 | AEK Athens | 3 | 4.23 | 4.82 | -0.59 | 3.93 | 3 |
| 16 | Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 4.09 | 4.94 | -0.85 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 17 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 4.37 | 5.07 | -0.7 | 3.85 | 2 |
| 18 | Man United | 2 | 4.53 | 2.3 | 2.23 | 3.82 | 3 |
| 19 | Real Madrid | 2 | 4.18 | 3.23 | 0.95 | 3.4 | 6 |
| 20 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 3.27 | 4.19 | -0.91 | 3.39 | 4 |
| 21 | Sporting CP | 2 | 3.42 | 2.75 | 0.67 | 3.25 | 6 |
| 22 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1.98 | 1.79 | 0.2 | 2.84 | 4 |
| 23 | Lens | 2 | 3.29 | 3.25 | 0.04 | 2.77 | 3 |
| 24 | Villarreal | 3 | 4.31 | 6.9 | -2.59 | 2.42 | 3 |
| 25 | Napoli | 3 | 3.45 | 7.96 | -4.51 | 2.38 | 3 |
| 26 | Inter | 2 | 6.16 | 7.04 | -0.88 | 2.19 | 0 |
| 27 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 3.12 | 4.43 | -1.31 | 2.03 | 3 |
| 28 | FC Porto | 3 | 2.66 | 5.92 | -3.26 | 1.98 | 0 |
| 29 | Club Brugge | 2 | 5.81 | 7.55 | -1.74 | 1.75 | 3 |
| 30 | LASK | 2 | 2.76 | 4.95 | -2.2 | 1.26 | 0 |
| 31 | Sabah FK | 3 | 3.67 | 9.42 | -5.74 | 1.16 | 3 |
| 32 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1.65 | 4.48 | -2.82 | 1.11 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1.12 | 3.39 | -2.26 | 1.09 | 3 |
| 34 | Lille | 2 | 1.13 | 3.51 | -2.37 | 0.98 | 0 |
| 35 | Viking | 2 | 1.35 | 5.47 | -4.12 | 0.48 | 1 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1.56 | 9.91 | -8.35 | 0.46 | 0 |
Man City: 7.69 xG for and 3.27 against (xG difference 4.42).