Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every World Cup team. Mexico have the best underlying numbers. Mexico are overperforming most (9 points vs 5.84 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3.73 | 1.51 | 2.22 | 5.84 | 9 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 4.11 | 2.51 | 1.6 | 5.23 | 3 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | 2.61 | 3.38 | -0.77 | 3.46 | 4 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 2.37 | 5.42 | -3.05 | 1.95 | 1 |
Mexico: 3.73 xG for and 1.51 against (xG difference 2.22).