Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Saudi Pro League team. Al Qadsiah have the best underlying numbers. Al Ittihad are overperforming most (20 points vs 15.05 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qadsiah | 10 | 25.84 | 9.88 | 15.97 | 24.1 | 25 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 9 | 31.48 | 9.95 | 21.52 | 23.31 | 24 |
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 9 | 18.5 | 6.8 | 11.7 | 20.37 | 22 |
| 4 | Al Ahli | 9 | 24.54 | 12.26 | 12.28 | 18.42 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Diriyah | 10 | 14.87 | 12.32 | 2.54 | 16.28 | 15 |
| 6 | Neom SC | 10 | 12.88 | 11.46 | 1.42 | 15.59 | 16 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 18.22 | 14.05 | 4.17 | 15.05 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.23 | 17.05 | 0.19 | 13.43 | 12 |
| 9 | Al-Ettifaq | 10 | 13.27 | 16.05 | -2.78 | 12.12 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 9 | 12.99 | 15.45 | -2.46 | 12.08 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 10.55 | 14.21 | -3.66 | 11.35 | 12 |
| 12 | Al-Taawoun | 10 | 12.05 | 19.66 | -7.61 | 10.11 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Fateh FC | 10 | 12.26 | 18.93 | -6.66 | 9.24 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Riyadh | 9 | 7.83 | 14.94 | -7.11 | 8.23 | 9 |
| 15 | Al Hazem | 10 | 10.52 | 22.45 | -11.92 | 8.19 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly | 9 | 10.37 | 17.57 | -7.2 | 7.55 | 7 |
| 17 | Al-Fayha | 10 | 8.87 | 22.73 | -13.86 | 6.31 | 7 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 5.98 | 12.5 | -6.53 | 5.77 | 2 |
Al Qadsiah: 25.84 xG for and 9.88 against (xG difference 15.97).