Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Premier League team. Arsenal have the best underlying numbers. Man City are overperforming most (21 points vs 13.42 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 7 | 11.87 | 5.41 | 6.46 | 14.46 | 18 |
| 2 | Man City | 7 | 15.31 | 9.84 | 5.47 | 13.42 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 14.87 | 10.14 | 4.73 | 12.33 | 16 |
| 4 | Nottm Forest | 7 | 11.35 | 8.26 | 3.09 | 11.66 | 5 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 7 | 12.32 | 8.11 | 4.21 | 11.51 | 6 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 7 | 10.92 | 8.29 | 2.63 | 11.49 | 12 |
| 7 | Man United | 7 | 11.6 | 9.86 | 1.75 | 10.14 | 7 |
| 8 | Fulham | 7 | 10.94 | 10.43 | 0.51 | 10.09 | 5 |
| 9 | Brentford | 7 | 11.84 | 10.23 | 1.61 | 9.83 | 10 |
| 10 | Leeds | 7 | 9.78 | 9.7 | 0.09 | 9.76 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 7 | 9.43 | 9.73 | -0.3 | 9.38 | 10 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 7 | 9.86 | 10.62 | -0.77 | 9.32 | 13 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 8.47 | 11.26 | -2.79 | 8.72 | 8 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 7 | 10.57 | 14.29 | -3.72 | 8.48 | 4 |
| 15 | Ipswich | 7 | 10.53 | 14.32 | -3.79 | 8.02 | 9 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 6 | 6.62 | 8.69 | -2.07 | 7.78 | 3 |
| 17 | Hull | 7 | 6.76 | 10.45 | -3.69 | 6.73 | 9 |
| 18 | Newcastle | 7 | 8.15 | 12.1 | -3.95 | 6.71 | 8 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 9.44 | 14.78 | -5.35 | 6.04 | 7 |
| 20 | Coventry | 6 | 6.34 | 10.46 | -4.12 | 5.45 | 6 |
Arsenal: 11.87 xG for and 5.41 against (xG difference 6.46).