Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Liga Portugal team. Benfica have the best underlying numbers. Académico Viseu are overperforming most (14 points vs 8.03 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 8 | 19.38 | 5.61 | 13.77 | 19.28 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 8 | 18.48 | 7.07 | 11.41 | 18.7 | 24 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 15.34 | 7.45 | 7.9 | 15.93 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 11.74 | 5.94 | 5.8 | 15.38 | 18 |
| 5 | Vitória de Guimarães | 8 | 13.08 | 7.89 | 5.18 | 14.4 | 5 |
| 6 | Braga | 7 | 9.51 | 5.24 | 4.26 | 12.77 | 11 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 9.88 | 7.39 | 2.5 | 11.91 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 12.8 | 13.15 | -0.35 | 10.23 | 11 |
| 9 | Arouca | 8 | 9.74 | 11.88 | -2.14 | 10.03 | 14 |
| 10 | Estrela da Amadora | 8 | 10.44 | 12.52 | -2.08 | 9.77 | 10 |
| 11 | Nacional | 8 | 9.87 | 15 | -5.13 | 8.74 | 4 |
| 12 | Marítimo | 8 | 7.45 | 11.08 | -3.64 | 8.33 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 8 | 7.36 | 11.97 | -4.6 | 8.19 | 7 |
| 14 | Académico Viseu | 8 | 9.7 | 14.19 | -4.49 | 8.03 | 14 |
| 15 | Estoril | 8 | 7.66 | 12.5 | -4.84 | 7.67 | 2 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 8 | 7.2 | 13.26 | -6.06 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 17 | Moreirense | 8 | 6.74 | 14.86 | -8.13 | 6.12 | 8 |
| 18 | Rio Ave | 8 | 5.58 | 14.96 | -9.38 | 5.06 | 7 |
Benfica: 19.38 xG for and 5.61 against (xG difference 13.77).