Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every League One team. Huddersfield have the best underlying numbers. Cambridge are overperforming most (19 points vs 12.95 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 10 | 21.92 | 9.92 | 12 | 21.06 | 19 |
| 2 | Reading | 10 | 21.63 | 9.94 | 11.7 | 20.59 | 15 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 10 | 18.86 | 12.68 | 6.18 | 18.07 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 17.37 | 15.97 | 1.4 | 16.33 | 19 |
| 5 | Sheff Wed | 9 | 18.77 | 12.22 | 6.55 | 16.31 | 18 |
| 6 | Bradford | 10 | 11.44 | 8.51 | 2.93 | 15.7 | 20 |
| 7 | Luton | 9 | 14.61 | 10.36 | 4.25 | 15.52 | 11 |
| 8 | Wycombe | 10 | 14.76 | 14.87 | -0.11 | 14.24 | 13 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 9 | 15.16 | 12.18 | 2.97 | 13.97 | 12 |
| 10 | Peterborough | 10 | 15.64 | 15.83 | -0.2 | 13.72 | 9 |
| 11 | Leicester | 9 | 13.97 | 12.69 | 1.28 | 13.68 | 12 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 9 | 12.61 | 10.81 | 1.79 | 13.49 | 9 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 9 | 10.96 | 9.03 | 1.93 | 13.35 | 12 |
| 14 | Cambridge | 10 | 13.67 | 14.98 | -1.31 | 12.95 | 19 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 9 | 13.9 | 15.42 | -1.52 | 11.27 | 8 |
| 16 | Notts County | 9 | 9.34 | 10.83 | -1.49 | 11.01 | 7 |
| 17 | MK Dons | 9 | 13.09 | 16.4 | -3.31 | 10.83 | 9 |
| 18 | Wigan | 9 | 13.2 | 15.78 | -2.58 | 10.8 | 7 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 10.72 | 14.05 | -3.32 | 10.11 | 15 |
| 20 | Burton | 11 | 9.51 | 18.61 | -9.09 | 9.67 | 13 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 10.26 | 15.98 | -5.72 | 9.66 | 14 |
| 22 | Wimbledon | 10 | 8.9 | 16.31 | -7.41 | 8.93 | 12 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 9 | 12.74 | 20.49 | -7.75 | 8.27 | 8 |
| 24 | Bromley | 9 | 7.7 | 16.87 | -9.17 | 6.63 | 8 |
Huddersfield: 21.92 xG for and 9.92 against (xG difference 12).