Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Ekstraklasa team. Lech Poznań have the best underlying numbers. Piast Gliwice are overperforming most (17 points vs 9.34 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznań | 10 | 23.39 | 9.63 | 13.75 | 21.49 | 25 |
| 2 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | 19.9 | 11.07 | 8.83 | 21.42 | 26 |
| 3 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 21.88 | 12.54 | 9.34 | 21.17 | 18 |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 19.23 | 14.57 | 4.66 | 18.38 | 23 |
| 5 | Cracovia | 11 | 18.27 | 14.62 | 3.65 | 17.28 | 12 |
| 6 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 20.59 | 17.05 | 3.54 | 17.06 | 12 |
| 7 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 16.07 | 13.6 | 2.47 | 15.74 | 21 |
| 8 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 16.03 | 16.19 | -0.16 | 15.37 | 18 |
| 9 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 18.34 | 18.61 | -0.27 | 15.07 | 8 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 19.45 | 21.01 | -1.56 | 14.4 | 18 |
| 11 | Widzew Łódź | 11 | 17.27 | 19.8 | -2.53 | 13.54 | 10 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 15.53 | 17.86 | -2.33 | 13.26 | 15 |
| 13 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 13.96 | 14.83 | -0.87 | 11.7 | 11 |
| 14 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 14.61 | 17 | -2.38 | 11.41 | 12 |
| 15 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 17.78 | 27.79 | -10.02 | 10.85 | 6 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 14.97 | 23.23 | -8.26 | 10.81 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 14.57 | 24.28 | -9.71 | 9.34 | 17 |
| 18 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 14.62 | 22.77 | -8.15 | 9.25 | 8 |
Lech Poznań: 23.39 xG for and 9.63 against (xG difference 13.75).