Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Championship team. Middlesbrough have the best underlying numbers. Stoke are overperforming most (19 points vs 10.53 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 21.9 | 11.34 | 10.56 | 22.44 | 22 |
| 2 | West Ham | 11 | 23.75 | 12.7 | 11.05 | 20.97 | 22 |
| 3 | Wolves | 10 | 18.42 | 10.12 | 8.3 | 19.77 | 17 |
| 4 | Southampton | 11 | 20.13 | 14.46 | 5.67 | 18.95 | 17 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 11 | 18.91 | 13.67 | 5.24 | 18.8 | 20 |
| 6 | QPR | 11 | 17.66 | 13.29 | 4.37 | 18.26 | 17 |
| 7 | Millwall | 11 | 20.46 | 15.47 | 4.99 | 18.24 | 15 |
| 8 | Swansea | 11 | 17.51 | 12.36 | 5.15 | 18.15 | 23 |
| 9 | Cardiff | 11 | 21 | 18.77 | 2.23 | 16.7 | 11 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 11 | 14.95 | 14.65 | 0.3 | 16.23 | 14 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 10 | 14 | 11.74 | 2.25 | 15.56 | 14 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 11 | 13.95 | 15.28 | -1.32 | 15.18 | 12 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 11 | 12.01 | 12.92 | -0.91 | 15.1 | 14 |
| 14 | Norwich | 11 | 16.38 | 18.05 | -1.68 | 13.77 | 9 |
| 15 | West Brom | 11 | 14.62 | 15.89 | -1.26 | 13.76 | 20 |
| 16 | Preston | 11 | 13.75 | 15.99 | -2.24 | 13.45 | 4 |
| 17 | Bolton | 11 | 15.65 | 19.38 | -3.73 | 12.43 | 14 |
| 18 | Sheff Utd | 11 | 11.54 | 16.37 | -4.83 | 11.61 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 11 | 13.25 | 17.99 | -4.74 | 11.58 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 11 | 11 | 18.88 | -7.88 | 11.58 | 6 |
| 21 | Charlton | 11 | 11.25 | 17.26 | -6.02 | 11.15 | 14 |
| 22 | Stoke | 11 | 10.34 | 18.76 | -8.42 | 10.53 | 19 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 11 | 10.88 | 19.6 | -8.72 | 9.82 | 15 |
| 24 | Watford | 11 | 12.44 | 20.8 | -8.36 | 9.69 | 11 |
Middlesbrough: 21.9 xG for and 11.34 against (xG difference 10.56).