Updated
Expected goals (xG) for and against and expected points for every Brasileirão Série B team. Novorizontino have the best underlying numbers. Vila Nova are overperforming most (61 points vs 45.24 expected).
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xG diff | xPts | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 33 | 57.2 | 31.98 | 25.22 | 61.52 | 60 |
| 2 | CRB | 33 | 53.62 | 39.14 | 14.48 | 56.36 | 52 |
| 3 | Atlético-GO | 34 | 51.72 | 42.17 | 9.55 | 53.61 | 54 |
| 4 | Criciúma | 33 | 39.74 | 29.1 | 10.63 | 52.8 | 56 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 34 | 43.13 | 35.83 | 7.3 | 51.97 | 60 |
| 6 | Cuiabá | 33 | 41.74 | 30.66 | 11.07 | 51.68 | 47 |
| 7 | Juventude | 34 | 40.3 | 34.93 | 5.38 | 50.5 | 61 |
| 8 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 39.18 | 33.97 | 5.21 | 49.04 | 41 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 34 | 49.08 | 43.69 | 5.39 | 48.97 | 51 |
| 10 | Vila Nova | 33 | 37.86 | 36.04 | 1.82 | 45.24 | 61 |
| 11 | Operário-PR | 34 | 45.27 | 48.08 | -2.81 | 44.31 | 48 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 39.94 | 43.14 | -3.2 | 43.24 | 46 |
| 13 | Náutico | 33 | 43.9 | 48.46 | -4.55 | 43.23 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceará | 34 | 40.69 | 45.54 | -4.86 | 42.59 | 43 |
| 15 | Goiás | 33 | 40.8 | 45.96 | -5.15 | 42.2 | 48 |
| 16 | Londrina | 33 | 42.18 | 47.14 | -4.96 | 41.32 | 29 |
| 17 | Athletic Club MG | 33 | 37.93 | 48.79 | -10.86 | 38.21 | 43 |
| 18 | Avaí | 33 | 31.68 | 41.73 | -10.05 | 37.92 | 36 |
| 19 | América-MG | 34 | 38.79 | 54.83 | -16.04 | 36.63 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 34 | 31.85 | 65.41 | -33.56 | 26.94 | 14 |
Novorizontino: 57.2 xG for and 31.98 against (xG difference 25.22).